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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

I did not have this on my fuck 2025 bingo card.

I’d hate to be the candidate who lost to this guy.

That meeting sounds like a shotgun wedding between a shitshow and a clusterfuck.

Fight them, without becoming them!

Red lights blinking on democracy’s dashboard

Stop using mental illness to avoid talking about armed white supremacy.

If you still can’t see these things even now, maybe politics isn’t your forte and you should stop writing about it.

Dear Washington Post, you are the darkness now.

Bad people in a position to do bad things will do bad things because they are bad people. End of story.

Come on, man.

If you’re gonna whine, it’s time to resign!

“Facilitate” is an active verb, not a weasel word.

You’re just a puppy masquerading as an old coot.

I would gladly pay you tuesday for a hamburger today.

Putin must be throwing ketchup at the walls.

Reality always lies in wait for … Democrats.

People are complicated. Love is not.

Republicans are radicals, not conservatives.

In my day, never was longer.

Is it negotiation when the other party actually wants to shoot the hostage?

If you don’t believe freedom is for everybody, then the thing you love isn’t freedom, it is privilege.

the 10% who apparently lack object permanence

Giving in to doom is how authoritarians win.

The cruelty is the point; the law be damned.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Target! (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  July 18, 202310:05 am| 272 Comments

This post is in: Jan 6: Insurrection, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, Trump Indictments, Trumpery

Valued commenter Sanjeevs flagged some news that deserves its own thread:

CNN — Former President Donald Trump said in a social media post that he’s been informed by special counsel Jack Smith that he is a target of the criminal investigation into efforts to overturn the 2020 election.

“Deranged Jack Smith, the prosecutor with Joe Biden’s DOJ, sent a letter (again, it was Sunday night!) stating that I am a TARGET of the January 6th Grand Jury investigation, and giving me a very short 4 days to report to the Grand Jury, which almost always means an Arrest and Indictment,” Trump posted on Truth Social.

Trump also received a target letter earlier this year from Smith before he was indicted in the investigation into the mishandling of classified documents.

Why is he shouting about Sunday night? Anyhoo, I’m short on time at the moment, but please feel free to discuss this or anything else — open thread!

Target! (Open Thread)Post + Comments (272)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: The Daily Grind

by Anne Laurie|  July 18, 20237:07 am| 139 Comments

This post is in: Biden Administration in Action, C.R.E.A.M., GOP Death Cult, Nature, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

Start with the good news:

"I don't expect a recession"

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen tells @annmarie the US is "on a good path to bringing inflation down," and the labor market is strong https://t.co/ZGfUtaJXOo pic.twitter.com/CeSG4wWtKQ

— Bloomberg Politics (@bpolitics) July 17, 2023

Biden National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan says the House passed NDAA has no chance, "This legislation is never getting to the president's desk." pic.twitter.com/0XElaiKCx0

— Sarah Reese Jones (@PoliticusSarah) July 16, 2023

Then… ICYMI yesterday’s posts:

"The tendency is, we look at the last Trump administration and say well democracy survived. But, what I think a lot of people forget is, democracy was on the emergency room table with no heartbeat, bleeding out from multiple wounds" – @petestrzok w/ @NicolleDWallace pic.twitter.com/RqN86NXaVq

— Deadline White House (@DeadlineWH) July 17, 2023

There’s nothing this gonif won’t try to steal…

show full post on front page

Of course it comes full circle: The second major piece of classified intelligence Trump leaked — to Russia!! — came from the Israelis. They should have known then that you can't give Donald anything.

— emptywheel (@emptywheel) July 18, 2023

Necessary respite — Florida’s latest invasive species news…

This Florida neighborhood is grappling with a bunny boom. pic.twitter.com/Yg7e9VY3xB

— The Associated Press (@AP) July 17, 2023

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: The Daily GrindPost + Comments (139)

Grifters Gonna Grift Open Thread: No Labels, and Damned Few Ethics

by Anne Laurie|  July 17, 202310:17 pm| 86 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Elections 2024, Grifters Gonna Grift, Open Threads, Our Failed Media Experiment

At a No Labels event in New Hampshire, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) says he “hasn’t made decision” on a 2024 independent run but rejects the idea he’d be a spoiler.

"I’ve never been in any race I’ve ever spoiled, I’ve been in races to win. And if I get in a race, I’m gonna win." pic.twitter.com/SYGJ9JXC6Y

— The Recount (@therecount) July 17, 2023

Joe Manchin can’t resist media attention any more than I can resist potato chips, and this wouldn’t be the first time he traded a short-term dopamine hit for a long-term political survival problem. But I can’t see Manchin actually committing to a No Labels run — he’d torch whatever credibility (bankability) he still has, in return for… what? An excuse not to contest his Senate seat with Jim Justice?

Here in NH, Joe Manchin says he'll decide on No Labels presidential run "next year," suggesting he's "not taking anything off the table" despite concerns of national Dems that his 3rd-party run could boost Trump back into WH.

"Let’s see what happens." https://t.co/ohEOoOFpPS

— Vaughn Hillyard (@VaughnHillyard) July 17, 2023

No Labels is absolutely ‘serious’ (about collecting all the moneys, from (mostly deluded) big and small donors, to throw the 2024 election to the GOP. Joe Manchin, I get the feeling, is just enjoying whatever spotlight he can trap. The media is only too happy to have another Dems in disarray! story for their blessedly shrinking files of same…

No Labels is taking another new, notable step advancing toward a potential third-party presidential bid in 2024, organizing a campaign-style event in New Hampshire on Monday featuring Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin.

The move comes as the Washington-based advocacy organization looks to recruit a Democrat and a Republican to form a bipartisan presidential ticket in 2024 — a prospect that could send an unpredictable jolt through the 2024 presidential race, which as of now is trending toward a rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.

No Labels’ founder and CEO, Nancy Jacobson, told NBC News that No Labels is near its fundraising goal of $70 million, which will go toward its efforts to gain ballot access for its would-be presidential ticket in all 50 states. No Labels is scheduled to hold a convention next April in Dallas, where it’ll formally nominate its presidential ticket.

Manchin continued to leave open the door to a third-party presidential run with No Labels, repeatedly declining to rule it out in an interview with NBC News…

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Manchin wasn’t the only party-bucking politician on the trail Monday: Republican Jon Huntsman, the former U.S. ambassador to China and Utah governor, also joined Manchin in New Hampshire. Ahead of their trip, No Labels heralded the pair as the headliners of its “Common Sense Townhall” Monday night at Saint Anselm College, a common waypoint for presidential contenders. The two spoke earlier at a diner in Manchester to a group of guests who received private invitations.

Huntsman, who sought the 2012 GOP presidential nomination, told NBC News he has “no plans at this point” to run on a third-party ticket in 2024.

No Labels’ leaders, including former Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut, a Democrat-turned-independent, and former North Carolina Gov. Pat McCrory, a Republican, continue to remain mum about possible candidates, though two sources familiar with the group’s deliberations told NBC News that the ticket could include individuals who have not previously been elected to public office…

Huntsman, I can’t even guess about his intentions. I’m prone to suspicion of generationally wealthy Mormon politicians, but there’s always the chance Huntsman is more of a George Romney than a sociopath like Willard Romney? (In which case, he won’t take the No Labels bait, of course.)

Joe Manchin loves power. If he runs for president next year on a third party ticket, he'll give up all his power and potentially hand the election to Donald Trump. So why would he risk it all on a vanity run? My latest article:https://t.co/5GNlWllJRc

— Jeremy Fassler (@J_fassler) July 13, 2023

… Historian Richard Hofstadter wrote that third parties are like bees: once they sting, they die. No Labels could hardly find a more dangerous stinger than Joe Manchin, whose barb resembles that of a hornet’s more than a honeybee’s…

Manchin or no, whoever No Labels runs will lose. But third parties and their standard bearers, at least in the 21st century, have less interest in building lasting political coalitions than in harming major party candidates, sometimes with seismic impacts. If Gary Sellers, a former “Nader Raider” is to be believed, Ralph Nader ran for president in 2000 “because Gore wouldn’t return his phone calls.” While Nader is not solely responsible for costing Gore the presidency, he made enough of an impact that politicians with whom he had worked to pass consumer protection laws gave him the cold shoulder. “Ralph Nader is not going to be welcome anywhere,” then-Senator Biden said after the election.

This makes Manchin’s flirtation with No Labels so confounding. Whether or not he retains his Senate seat, by throwing the presidency to a Republican, his name, like Nader’s, will be mud in Washington — so why would a man so addicted to power be willing to trade it all away? To extend Hofstadter’s analogy, Manchin would be trading his hornet’s barb for a honeybee’s: once he stings, he’ll die.

Fundraising pitch? https://t.co/URQ1yDYxOE

— Eric Kleefeld (becoming a parody of myself) (@EricKleefeld) July 13, 2023

Grifters Gonna Grift Open Thread: No Labels, and Damned Few EthicsPost + Comments (86)

Hitler Gained Total Power Through Democratic Procedures–And Trump Is Using The Same Playbook

by Tom Levenson|  July 17, 20238:15 pm| 55 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, The Republican Crime Syndicate

The story is old and familiar.  Hitler led the Nazi party in the last Weimar Reichstag.  In the autumn 1932 elections, his share of the vote declined, but the Nazis remained the largest political force in the body.  So when the last center-right to right-wing coalition fell, President Hindenberg named Hitler as the new Chancellor–the head of what was still, nominally, a coalition government.

And then he got to work, consolidating authority in his office, isolating non-Nazi figures in the government, exploiting the false-flag of the Reichstag fire, and then achieving a majority in the parliament in an election in the spring of 1933 in which unreliable sectors of the electorate were subject to all the varieties of voter suppression that Hitler’s men could come up with.

Hitler Gained Total Power Through Democratic Procedures--And Trump Is Using The Same Playbook

Today we learned via the New York Times of Trump’s men working along very similar lines to similar ends:

Donald J. Trump and his allies are planning a sweeping expansion of presidential power over the machinery of government if voters return him to the White House in 2025, reshaping the structure of the executive branch to concentrate far greater authority directly in his hands.

Their plans to centralize more power in the Oval Office stretch far beyond the former president’s recent remarks that he would order a criminal investigation into his political rival, President Biden, signaling his intent to end the post-Watergate norm of Justice Department independence from White House political control.

Mr. Trump and his associates have a broader goal: to alter the balance of power by increasing the president’s authority over every part of the federal government that now operates, by either law or tradition, with any measure of independence from political interference by the White House, according to a review of his campaign policy proposals and interviews with people close to him.

That’s the overview. The details are worse:

“The president’s plan should be to fundamentally reorient the federal government in a way that hasn’t been done since F.D.R.’s New Deal,” said John McEntee, a former White House personnel chief who began Mr. Trump’s systematic attempt to sweep out officials deemed to be disloyal in 2020 and who is now involved in mapping out the new approach.

“Our current executive branch,” Mr. McEntee added, “was conceived of by liberals for the purpose of promulgating liberal policies. There is no way to make the existing structure function in a conservative manner. It’s not enough to get the personnel right. What’s necessary is a complete system overhaul.”

…

“What we’re trying to do is identify the pockets of independence and seize them,” said Russell T. Vought, who ran the Office of Management and Budget in the Trump White House and now runs a policy organization, the Center for Renewing America.

The Fuhrerprinzep is strong in Mr. McEntee and Mr. Vought, but it’s vital to recognize that Trump is the face of this effort, but the campaign is one as old as Reagan’s mainstreaming of the John Birch Society’s politics.  This is what a substantial and now dominant fraction of the GOP and its oligarchs have been seeking for a long time–really since class-traitor FDR conceived of government as something that could serve the broad public.

The justification for this would-be coup is that hallmark of conservative argument–a bogus constitutional argument that requires those who advance it to ignore both the plain language of the text and 250 years of experience:

The legal theory rejects the idea that the government is composed of three separate branches with overlapping powers to check and balance each other. Instead, the theory’s adherents argue that Article 2 of the Constitution gives the president complete control of the executive branch, so Congress cannot empower agency heads to make decisions or restrict the president’s ability to fire them. Reagan administration lawyers developed the theory as they sought to advance a deregulatory agenda.

An aside: to call this a “theory” is a bit of MSM normalization of extremism. It was an ad hoc argument by radical right wing figures to provide a fig leaf of cover for their otherwise untenable claims.

Trump is in it for himself–as the article notes, “Personal power has always been a driving force for Mr. Trump. He often gestures toward it in a more simplistic manner, such as in 2019, when he declared to a cheering crowd, “I have an Article 2, where I have the right to do whatever I want as president.”

That’s pretty clear. We already know from the actions of GOP figures in the states and on the Supreme Court that actual free and fair elections are a threat to their rule.  A President that achieves the unitary executive model of government can shape elections any way he wants; Trump made it clear that he thought he could do that in 2020! If he gets in again that’s the starting point.

All of which is to say that though the NY Times piece does not IMHO state the fascist threat clearly enough, it’s still a clear and pretty unflinching account of the clear and present danger that Trump himself and the movement that is attempting to use him pose to the United States.

2024 really is an existential election.

Open thread, as per usual.

Image: William Hogarth, An Election Entertainment, 1755

Hitler Gained Total Power Through Democratic Procedures–And Trump Is Using The Same PlaybookPost + Comments (55)

Monday Evening Open Thread: Proposed Democratic Theme Song 2024

by Anne Laurie|  July 17, 20237:17 pm| 34 Comments

This post is in: Music, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat


 
Commentor Miss Bianca suggested we use the Hank Williams classic as our theme for the 2024 races. I’m partial to this version from Hank Jr., with assists from Reba McIntire, Willie Nelson, and Tom Petty.

And on the topic of business and good Democratic governance… Michigan Governor Whitmer’s campaign slogan in 2018 was Fix the Damn Roads — a bipartisan favorite in a very car-dependent state whose climate is hell on manmade construction. Gov. Gretch has kept her promises, and she’s not ashamed to share the news:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
June 12, 2023

LANSING, Mich. — Today, Governor Gretchen Whitmer announced that the Michigan Department of Transportation (MDOT) will begin multiple road and bridge repair projects next week including repaving work on M-227 and rebuilding a ramp on the I-94/I-69 interchange in Calhoun County, resurfacing and other improvement work on M-50 in Jackson County, resurfacing work on M-123 in Luce County, repairs and upgrades to the US-31 bascule bridge over the Manistee River in Manistee County, and chipsealing on M-88 in Antrim County, M-93 in Crawford County, and M-18 in Roscommon and Crawford counties. Based on economic modeling, these investments are expected to support 2,876 jobs.

“Across Michigan, we are moving dirt and fixing the damn roads to drive economic activity, help Michiganders go to work, drop their kids off at school, and run errands safely,” said Governor Whitmer. “Through the end of this construction season, we will have fixed, repaired, or replaced nearly 20,000 lane miles of state-owned roads and 1,400 bridges since I took office, supporting 89,000 jobs without raising taxes by a dime. Let’s roll up our sleeves and keep getting things done.” …

More like this, everybody!

Monday Evening Open Thread: Proposed Democratic Theme Song 2024Post + Comments (34)

War for Ukraine Day 509: The Kerch Bridge

by Adam L Silverman|  July 17, 20235:00 pm| 56 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

 

Quick housekeeping note: Today and tomorrow are exceedingly busy for me. I’ve got a bunch of stuff stuff and family stuff and the usual things you didn’t expect stuff. The rest of the week isn’t much better. Anyhow, I’ll not be around in comments and the post are likely to be more bare bones than usual.

As we began discussing in comments, because the news started trickling out after I posted the update, the Ukrainians hit the Kerch Bridge late last night/early this morning.

Photos from the site of a reported explosion on the bridge. The Mash Telegram channel says there were two explosions about 20 minutes apart. One span was reportedly destroyed. 2/https://t.co/dwuueo24UOhttps://t.co/KjxV1jJaD6 pic.twitter.com/Fm1YlLi3bm

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) July 17, 2023

We’ll have more after the jump.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Ukraine, UN and Türkiye can jointly ensure operation of food corridor and inspection of vessels – address of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy

17 July 2023 – 22:35

Dear Ukrainians, I wish you good health!

First. Today, I held a conference call – substantive reports. Front, security, supply of rounds. Commanders, SSU chief, intelligence chiefs – defense and foreign intelligence, minister of internal affairs, Defense Ministry. We do everything in detail and every day so that our soldiers have everything they need for active operations.

Second. I thank each of our rescuers, each policeman, each volunteer, and each doctor who save our people after Russian shelling. Today’s terrorist attacks on Sumy region, Kharkiv region, Donbas, Kherson region, and Zaporizhzhia will not go unanswered by our soldiers for sure.

Third. Food security. We are preparing a conversation with Mr. UN Secretary General…

Ukraine’s position has always been and will be as clear as possible – no one has the right to destroy the food security of any nation. If a bunch of people somewhere in the Kremlin think that they supposedly have the right to decide whether food will be on the table in different countries: Egypt or Sudan, Yemen or Bangladesh, China or India, Türkiye or Indonesia… then the world has an opportunity to show that blackmail is not allowed to anyone.

From the first day of the full-scale aggression, Russia destroyed navigation freedom in the Black and Azov seas. Russia hit our ports, grain terminals with missiles and drones, and even granaries were hit… The only possible consequence of this is the destabilization of food markets and social chaos in the countries critically dependent on food imports. Ukrainian food is basic security for four hundred million people…

Last year, the world took the right action regarding the Russian threat to food security – together with Türkiye and the UN, we launched the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Its results are eloquent – almost 33 million tonnes of agricultural products were exported to 45 countries. Sixty percent of the volumes went to the countries of Africa and Asia, in particular, these are Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Kenya, Ethiopia, Somalia, Sudan… They also were sent to China, India, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Pakistan, Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen… And it is very important – our food export allows saving lives in the countries, as I said, like Yemen and Somalia… different people… of different religions, different ethnic origins… But they all have the same right to life!

In addition to export, we also launched the Grain from Ukraine humanitarian initiative. Thirty-four donor states joined it. And I thank every donor who helped save people from starvation, primarily in African countries.

Everyone has a right to stability… Africa has the right to stability. Asia has the right to stability. Europe has every right to stability. And therefore, we must all care about security – about protection from Russian madness. And the Black Sea Grain Initiative can and should keep operating – if without Russia, then without Russia. The agreement on the export of grain – this is an agreement with Türkiye and the UN – remains valid. The only thing that is needed now is its careful implementation – and decisive pressure from the world on the terrorist state.

I have sent official letters to President of Türkiye Erdoğan and UN Secretary General Guterres with a proposal to continue the Black Sea Grain Initiative or its analog in a trilateral format – as it is best. Ukraine, the UN and Türkiye can jointly ensure the operation of the food corridor and the inspection of vessels. It is necessary for everyone in the world – and everyone who supports it will become a savior of life in a huge territory from Morocco to China, from Indonesia to Lebanon.

One more.

I want to especially thank Sweden. Our Swedish friends have approved a strategy to help Ukraine, in particular with reconstruction… a strategy until 2027. This is very important – signals of long-term support. Support for life, restoration of life, support for the fact that Russian terror will clearly lose. Mr. Prime Minister Kristersson, the entire Government of Sweden, everyone in Sweden – I thank you very much!

Glory to everyone who helps us defend ourselves from Russian terror! Glory to each of our warriors! Glory to our beautiful people!

Glory to Ukraine! 

.

We still have a very, very difficult path to go to liberate our entire territory from the occupation, but let's not forget how it all begins, how it all started, and what Ukrainians have managed to overcome. pic.twitter.com/P87lX73KIq

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) July 17, 2023

9 years have passed since the #MH17 terrorist act was carried out by russian forces.
298 innocent lives were lost.
We will never forget.
All perpetrators of this crime will face justice. pic.twitter.com/p05OwsaRmh

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 17, 2023

9 years ago, a Russian Buk missile launcher from Russia's 53rd Air Defense Brigade shot down Malaysia Airlines Flight 17, killing all 298 people abroad. We tell the story of how we found out who did it in Bellingcat's 6 part MH17 podcast https://t.co/lJe5K3K9te

— @eliothiggins.bsky.social (@EliotHiggins) July 17, 2023

 

More on the Kerch Bridge:

https://twitter.com/maria_avdv/status/1680822995973988353

That’ll buff right out.

Photos of the bridge. 4/https://t.co/pWitIYE04r pic.twitter.com/uFZIIFHtb3

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) July 17, 2023

6/https://t.co/hzsJalNOWk

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) July 17, 2023

New satellite imagery collected by @Maxar reveals the damage to Russia's illegal Crimea Bridge after this morning's attack. Our @FT story on it here: https://t.co/80WYLdw59l pic.twitter.com/Ot8JChv7JC

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) July 17, 2023

Russian media report 5-km-long traffic jam between UA's Russian-occupied Crimea in direction of Melitopol, in Russian-occupied part of Zaporizhzhya Oblast. Melitopol is 70 km from front line, and is where E105 road to Crimea meets E58, leading along Azov Sea coast to Russia. pic.twitter.com/NCbIF0IVCu

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) July 17, 2023

From The Financial Times:

Moscow-installed authorities in Crimea have halted traffic on the bridge connecting the occupied peninsula to Russia after a Ukrainian attack that caused parts of it to collapse early on Monday, killing two people.

A Ukraine intelligence source, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter, said the SBU — the country’s security service — and its naval forces were behind the assault.

It is the second Ukrainian attack on the bridge — which carries road and rail traffic and was opened with great fanfare by Russian president Vladimir Putin in 2018 — dealing another humiliating blow to the Kremlin’s prestige, and possibly to its ability to supply troops occupying Ukraine’s southern regions.

Putin vowed to respond to the attack on the bridge and said the defence ministry was working on proposals for actions that Russia could take.

Viacheslav Gladkov, governor of Russia’s Belgorod region, which borders Ukraine, said a man and a woman from the region had been killed in the explosion. Their 14-year-old daughter was in hospital in a stable condition.

Artem Dekhtiarenko, a spokesperson for Ukraine’s SBU, said that details of the operation would only be revealed “after our victory”.

“Meanwhile, we are watching with interest as one of the symbols of Putin’s regime once again failed to withstand the military burden,” he added.

Mash, an online news outlet with close ties to Russia’s police, posted videos showing that one span on the bridge had collapsed and another had begun to sink into the waters of the Kerch Strait below.

It said investigators had found traces from jet skis near the site of the explosion and claimed Ukraine had begun to use them as explosive-carrying underwater drones.

Much more at the link!

So – the complete disruption of the Crimean bridge is more than real, possible, and effective.
The railway line between mainland Russia and occupied Crimea (a vital military line of communications) is now going to be a top-tier target in this naval drone war in the Black Sea.

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) July 17, 2023

The number of potential «domestic» summer tourist destinations for russians is falling. With alarming regularity.

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 17, 2023

Kreminna:

KREMINNA AXIS /1940 UTC 17 JUL/ Russian forces have opened a wide offensive operation across the O-131306 Road axis. UKR forces report that RU probes were repelled at Novovodiane, Makiivka, Novoliubivka, Nevske, Terny, Yampolivka, Torske and west of Dibrova and Bilohorvika. pic.twitter.com/gs9duinXan

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) July 17, 2023

Dovhenke, Karkhiv:

Crater.
Dovhenke, Kharkiv region. Due to constant russian shelling, all residents of this village were forced to leave their homes.

📷Oleg Petrasyuk / EPA / Scanpix / LETA pic.twitter.com/xT3KoYvp7d

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) July 17, 2023

Yeisk, Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

A Russian source associated with the Russian military aviation reports the crash of the Su-25. At the same time, Russian media reported that the inhabitants of Yeysk saw a falling plane. pic.twitter.com/ih7NxWjEJ3

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 17, 2023

/3. A short video of the Su-25 crash in the sea near Yeysk. The pilot is also visible. pic.twitter.com/hg8a226W4U

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 17, 2023

/4. The pilot of Russian Su-25 died. Initially, there were reports that he broke his legs on the water and was in critical condition due to the fact that he got tangled in the parachute lines and almost drowned. But then reports about pilots death appeared.
Plus more detailed… pic.twitter.com/lpCRHh463R

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) July 17, 2023

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new video from Patron’s official TikTok!

@patron__dsns

Чоловік мрії :)))

♬ original sound – 𝐀𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐳 𝐊𝐡𝐚𝐧

Here is the machine translation of the caption:

The man of my dreams :)))

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 509: The Kerch BridgePost + Comments (56)

Whitmer’s Pitch (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  July 17, 20232:13 pm| 159 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

The New Yorker‘s Benjamin Wallace-Wells published a lengthyish profile on Governor Gretchen Whitmer and the political transformation of Michigan into a Democratic stronghold. But before we get to that, I have to share something unpleasant: Trump’s oft-touted plan to end the war in Ukraine in 24 hours.

As you may know, ever since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Trump has bragged that the war would never have happened on his watch and that he alone could instantly end it. For many months, Trump refused to elaborate on his alleged plan but finally responded with a bit more detail when pressed by Maria Bartiromo on her Fox News program yesterday. Are you ready? Here it is:

“I know Zelenskyy very well, and I know Putin very well, even better. And I had a good relationship, very good with both of them. I would tell Zelenskyy, no more. You got to make a deal. I would tell Putin, if you don’t make a deal, we’re going to give him a lot. We’re going to [give Ukraine] more than they ever got if we have to. I will have the deal done in one day. One day,” Trump responded.

Jesus Fucking Christ. Fran Lebowitz was right: “You do not know anyone as stupid as Donald Trump.”

Okay, now on to the more pleasant topic of a state, Michigan, that went for Trump in 2016 and now has a Democratic trifecta in Lansing: the governorship and both legislative chambers. Wallace-Wells summarizes Whitmer’s approach as follows:

The Governor’s strategy for revitalizing her state has two parts: to grow, Michigan needs young people; to draw young people, it needs to have the social policies they want.

It appears to be the opposite of the DeSantis strategy for Florida, which is to chase the young folks out and lure the nation’s angriest seniors.

In Michigan, Democrats are protecting women’s reproductive healthcare, LGBTQ rights and investing Inflation Reduction Act funds in ways that are improving communities and creating jobs. But their pitch sounds more pragmatic than ideological, and it seems to be working. Whitmer contrasts that approach with the style of hyper-ideologues like Ron DeSantis and his war on Disney:

“I can’t imagine General Motors taking a stance on just about anything where I would go to war with General Motors,” Whitmer said. “It’s just wild to me to see that Democrats are now viewed as a little more pragmatic and business-friendly than maybe some Republicans. But I think that’s good. I think that’s important. And I would consider myself in that vein.”

Whitmer notes that Dems gained a trifecta with a “different kind of coalition than Democrats have relied on before,” and it’s clear Michigan Dems have benefited from meltdowns on the Repub side, which is a hot mess. That said, Dems aren’t taking anything for granted. If they don’t get everything they want, Democrats in the state understand the stakes:

So far, though, the spectre of a Republican comeback has largely kept everyone in line. “It’s such a huge part of what’s happening right now,” Christy McGillivray, a lobbyist in Lansing for the Sierra Club, told me. “Even when we talk about what’s happening legislatively, no one wants to say bad things about the people who are holding off the fascist Christian takeover.”

Anyhoo, the whole thing is worth a read. As we’ve discussed here, Dems at the national level seem to be settling on a message that sounds a bit like Whitmer’s in Michigan, i.e., individual freedom and shared prosperity. I think it can work in other places too.

Open thread.

Whitmer’s Pitch (Open Thread)Post + Comments (159)

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